Wednesday, April 26, 2017

Client Trading Notes Updated

Client Trading
Bulls make money, bears make money, and but PIGS get slaughtered" is an old Wall Street saying that warns traders against the danger of excessive greed.  Disciplined traders always remove their own capital (initial investments) as fast as possible and risk only other people's money while watching TIME and trend energy. TIME is defined by cycles unique to each market, while energy is defined by DI and CAP in the Matrix.

I'm working on a simplified model allocation between stocks, bonds, and cash in the trading notes. This information is restricted, but I may consider opening up to subscribers either for an additional cost this year, a higher subscription price or less custom content next year.

Client Trading Notes can be accessed with a special key.


I ask all subscribers to visit the page this week.


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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

04/21/17 #Lumber Chart $Lumber

Lumber Chart
Those that view the message of the market on daily basis are likely confused by trading noise. While trading noise contributes to the long-term trends, it does not define them. Human behavior tries to explain trading noise as a meaningful trend. This confuses the majority which, in turn, contributes to their role as bagholders of trend transitions.

Lumber's overall trend, revealed by trends of price, leverage, and time, are defined and discussed in the COT Matrix for subscribers.

Subscriber Comments



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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

04/21/17 #Goldshares Chart $GDX

Gold Shares Chart
Those that view the message of the market on daily basis are likely confused by trading noise. While trading noise contributes to the long-term trends, it does not define them. Human behavior tries to explain trading noise as a meaningful trend. This confuses the majority which, in turn, contributes to their role as bagholders of trend transitions.

Gold Shares' overall trend, revealed by trends of price, leverage, and time, are define and discussed below for subscribers.

Subscriber Comments



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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

Tuesday, April 25, 2017

04/21/17 #Euro Chart $FXE

Euro Chart
Those that view the message of the market on daily basis are likely confused by trading noise. While trading noise contributes to the long-term trends, it does not define them. Human behavior tries to explain trading noise as a meaningful trend. This confuses the majority which, in turn, contributes to their role as bagholders of trend transitions.

The Euro's overall trend, revealed by trends of price, leverage, and time, are defined and discussed in The Matrix for subscribers.

Subscriber Comments



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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

04/21/17 #USTreasuryBonds Chart $TLT

US TBonds Chart
Those that view the message of the market on daily basis are likely confused by trading noise. While trading noise contributes to the long-term trends, it does not define them. Human behavior tries to explain trading noise as a meaningful trend. This confuses the majority which, in turn, contributes to their role as bagholders of trend transitions.

US Treasury Bond's overall trend, revealed by trends of price, leverage, and time, are defined and discussed in The Matrix and for subscribers.

Subscriber Comments



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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

Monday, April 24, 2017

04/21/17 Chart of the Day #GSR #JMR

Chart of The Day
The juniors to majors (JMR) and gold to silver (GSR) ratios, important components of precious metals (gold & silver) timing, are tracked in the Matrix. Precious metals traders, especially the bulls, should have recognized the JMR's bearish crossover on 4/14 as a risk-off trend.

Another aspect of precious metals timing is the gold and silver ratio (GRS). The GSR bullish message is tempered by the JMR's bearish one. Alignment of price, leverage, sentiment, and intermarket trends is the key to defining risk-on or risk-off. Powers trends often show total alignment.

Subscriber Comments

Chart 1


Chart 2


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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

US Economic Growth Decelerating

News
The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) is a monthly index designed to gauge overall economic activity and related inflationary pressure. The deceleration of growth in the CFNAI is matched by a similar trend in the Economic Activity Composite (EAC). If the Fed is going to raise rates under the guise of economic strength, it better get going.




Headline: Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI)

Led by slower growth in employment-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) moved down to +0.08 in March from +0.27 in February. Two of the four broad categories of indicators that make up the index decreased from February, and one category made a negative contribution to the index in March. The index’s three-month moving average, CFNAI-MA3, decreased to +0.03 in March from +0.16 in February, but remained positive for the fourth consecutive month.


more

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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.